Douglas County

Missouri — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

23.7

National percentile: 24th

Douglas County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 23.7, 24th national percentile), driven primarily by ice storm and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $7M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $7M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 12K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Ice Storm
Medium $356K/yr
Landslide
Low $8K/yr
Heat Wave
Low $789K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Ice Storm Medium 1.60 / yr $356K
Landslide Low 2.09 / yr $8K
Heat Wave Low 12.58 / yr $789K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr $440K
Strong Wind Medium 4.65 / yr $602K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $62K
Cold Wave Low 2.11 / yr $661K
Tornado Low 0.51 / yr $878K
Winter Weather Low 10.95 / yr $33K
Lightning Low 56.97 / yr $98K
Hurricane Very Low 0.02 / yr $9K
Riverine Flood Very Low 6.43 / yr $3M
Drought Very Low 2.32 / yr $12K
Hail Very Low 6.14 / yr $51K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Douglas County?

Douglas County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 23.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 24th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Douglas County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Ice Storm (Medium, $356K EAL), Landslide (Low, $8K EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $789K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Douglas County compare to other Missouri counties?

Douglas County ranks #94 of 115 Missouri counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Douglas County's $7M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.