Tallahatchie County, Mississippi Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · MS

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

40.1

National percentile: 40th

Tallahatchie County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 40.1, 40th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Tallahatchie County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 40.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 40th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Medium risk — $794K in expected annual loss and about 13.43 events per year; earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Low risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; and strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at Medium risk — $774K in expected annual loss and about 1.81 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $8M in expected annual loss for a population of 13K.

Beyond physical exposure, Tallahatchie County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

History supports the rating: Tallahatchie County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1971, including 12 for severe storm events and 4 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in February 2026.

Among 82 Mississippi counties, Tallahatchie County ranks #55 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 13K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $794K/yr
Low $1M/yr
Medium $774K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Medium 13.43 / yr$794K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$1M
Strong Wind Medium 1.81 / yr$774K
Heat Wave Low 22.26 / yr$533K
Tornado Medium 0.45 / yr$1M
Hurricane Low 0.05 / yr$211K
Cold Wave Low 1.11 / yr$603K
Landslide Very Low 0.38 / yr$779
Lightning Low 64.22 / yr$127K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$19K
Hail Low 2.76 / yr$107K
Ice Storm Low 0.72 / yr$22K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.57 / yr$2M
Winter Weather Very Low 4.32 / yr$3K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Tallahatchie County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1971, most recently Severe Winter Storm in February 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (12), Hurricane (4), Winter Storm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
February 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
October 2021HurricaneHurricane Ida
August 2021HurricaneHurricane Ida
May 2021Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storms
April 2020Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
March 2020Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
April 2019Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 27 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Tallahatchie County?

Tallahatchie County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 40.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 40th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Tallahatchie County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Medium, $794K EAL), Earthquake (Low, $1M EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $774K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Tallahatchie County compare to other Mississippi counties?

Tallahatchie County ranks #55 of 82 Mississippi counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Tallahatchie County had?

FEMA records 27 federal disaster declarations for Tallahatchie County since 1971, most often 12 for severe storm events and 4 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in February 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Tallahatchie County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.