Coahoma County, Mississippi Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · MS

Low

Composite Risk Score

62.5

National percentile: 63th

Coahoma County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 62.5, 63th national percentile), driven primarily by earthquake and tornado exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $15M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Coahoma County at low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 62.5 out of 100 — placing it in the 63rd national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Coahoma County's expected losses come from earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Medium risk — $4M in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $4M in expected annual loss and about 0.35 events per year; and drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Medium risk — $615K in expected annual loss and about 11.78 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $15M in expected annual loss for a population of 21K.

Beyond physical exposure, Coahoma County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Higher vulnerability is partly offset by strong community resilience and recovery capacity.

The federal record bears this out: Coahoma County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1973, including 10 for severe storm events and 4 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in February 2026.

Among 82 Mississippi counties, Coahoma County ranks #28 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $15M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 21K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $4M/yr
Medium $4M/yr
Medium $615K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Earthquake Medium 0.00 / yr$4M
Tornado Medium 0.35 / yr$4M
Drought Medium 11.78 / yr$615K
Heat Wave Low 23.37 / yr$908K
Strong Wind Medium 1.62 / yr$758K
Hail Low 2.60 / yr$284K
Hurricane Low 0.03 / yr$131K
Cold Wave Low 1.16 / yr$598K
Lightning Low 61.77 / yr$138K
Riverine Flood Low 0.82 / yr$4M
Ice Storm Low 0.70 / yr$39K
Landslide Very Low 0.17 / yr$164
Winter Weather Very Low 4.32 / yr$12K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$2K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Coahoma County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1973, most recently Severe Winter Storm in February 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (10), Hurricane (4), Flood (4).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
February 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
October 2021HurricaneHurricane Ida
August 2021HurricaneHurricane Ida
April 2020Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
April 2019Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
March 2016FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
January 2016Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 23 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Coahoma County?

Coahoma County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 62.5 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 63th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Coahoma County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Earthquake (Medium, $4M EAL), Tornado (Medium, $4M EAL), Drought (Medium, $615K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Coahoma County compare to other Mississippi counties?

Coahoma County ranks #28 of 82 Mississippi counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Coahoma County had?

FEMA records 23 federal disaster declarations for Coahoma County since 1973, most often 10 for severe storm events and 4 for hurricane events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in February 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Coahoma County's $15M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.