Calvert County, Maryland Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · MD

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

28.9

National percentile: 29th

Calvert County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 28.9, 29th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $16M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Calvert County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 28.9 out of 100 — placing it in the 29th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Medium risk — $4M in expected annual loss and about 0.11 events per year; landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $9K in expected annual loss and about 0.14 events per year; and heat wave (prolonged periods of extreme heat that threaten health and infrastructure) at Low risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 6.37 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $16M in expected annual loss for a population of 93K.

Beyond physical exposure, Calvert County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

History supports the rating: Calvert County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1972, including 8 for hurricane events and 6 for snowstorm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 24 Maryland counties, Calvert County ranks #22 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $16M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 93K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $4M/yr
Low $9K/yr
Low $1M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Medium 0.11 / yr$4M
Landslide Low 0.14 / yr$9K
Heat Wave Low 6.37 / yr$1M
Drought Medium 3.55 / yr$725K
Lightning Medium 38.60 / yr$559K
Coastal Flood Low 3.65 / yr$754K
Winter Weather Low 6.84 / yr$121K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$91K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$467K
Strong Wind Low 5.62 / yr$894K
Ice Storm Low 0.39 / yr$88K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.14 / yr$6M
Hail Very Low 2.82 / yr$183K
Cold Wave Low 1.05 / yr$603K
Tornado Very Low 0.21 / yr$315K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Calvert County has received 24 federal disaster declarations since 1972, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (8), Snowstorm (6), Severe Storm (4).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
February 2021HurricaneTropical Storm Isaias
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
March 2016SnowstormSevere Winter Storm and Snowstorm
November 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
October 2012HurricaneHurricane Sandy
August 2012Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight-Line Winds
September 2011HurricaneHurricane Irene
August 2011HurricaneHurricane Irene

Showing the 10 most recent of 24 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Calvert County?

Calvert County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 28.9 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 29th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Calvert County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Medium, $4M EAL), Landslide (Low, $9K EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $1M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Calvert County compare to other Maryland counties?

Calvert County ranks #22 of 24 Maryland counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Calvert County had?

FEMA records 24 federal disaster declarations for Calvert County since 1972, most often 8 for hurricane events and 6 for snowstorm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Calvert County's $16M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.