Androscoggin County, Maine Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · ME

Low

Composite Risk Score

59.1

National percentile: 59th

Androscoggin County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 59.1, 59th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $23M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Androscoggin County carries a low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 59.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 59th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by winter weather (heavy snow, blizzards, and hazardous winter conditions) at Very High risk — $977K in expected annual loss and about 21.06 events per year; ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at High risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 1.38 events per year; and hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Medium risk — $5M in expected annual loss and about 0.12 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $23M in expected annual loss for a population of 111K.

Beyond physical exposure, Androscoggin County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The federal record bears this out: Androscoggin County has received 31 federal disaster declarations since 1970, including 11 for severe storm events and 7 for snowstorm events. The most recent was Severe Storm and Flooding (severe storm), declared in January 2024.

Among 16 Maine counties, Androscoggin County ranks #8 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $23M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 111K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very High $977K/yr
High $2M/yr
Medium $5M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Winter Weather Very High 21.06 / yr$977K
Ice Storm High 1.38 / yr$2M
Hurricane Medium 0.12 / yr$5M
Drought Medium 4.45 / yr$808K
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$1M
Lightning Medium 18.10 / yr$547K
Riverine Flood Low 1.75 / yr$10M
Landslide Very Low 0.32 / yr$3K
Hail Low 1.17 / yr$386K
Strong Wind Low 0.40 / yr$560K
Cold Wave Low 1.93 / yr$712K
Heat Wave Very Low 1.91 / yr$208K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$12K
Tornado Very Low 0.04 / yr$249K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.01 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Androscoggin County has received 31 federal disaster declarations since 1970, most recently Severe Storm and Flooding in January 2024. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (11), Snowstorm (7), Flood (6).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2024Severe StormSevere Storm and Flooding
September 2023HurricaneHurricane Lee
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
March 2015SnowstormSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and Flooding
March 2013Severe StormSevere Winter Storm, Snowstorm, and Flooding
January 2009Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and Flooding
September 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes
April 2007Severe StormSevere Storms and Inland and Coastal Flooding
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation

Showing the 10 most recent of 31 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Androscoggin County?

Androscoggin County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 59.1 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 59th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Androscoggin County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Very High, $977K EAL), Ice Storm (High, $2M EAL), Hurricane (Medium, $5M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Androscoggin County compare to other Maine counties?

Androscoggin County ranks #8 of 16 Maine counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Androscoggin County had?

FEMA records 31 federal disaster declarations for Androscoggin County since 1970, most often 11 for severe storm events and 7 for snowstorm events. The most recent was Severe Storm and Flooding, declared in January 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Androscoggin County's $23M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.