Trego County, Kansas Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · KS

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

2.7

National percentile: 3th

Trego County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 2.7, 3th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $3M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Trego County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 2.7 out of 100 — placing it in the 3rd national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Low risk — $628K in expected annual loss and about 9.32 events per year; drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Low risk — $510K in expected annual loss and about 77.32 events per year; and wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Very Low risk — $56K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $3M in expected annual loss for a population of 3K.

Beyond physical exposure, Trego County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Trego County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1993, including 6 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in April 2024.

Among 105 Kansas counties, Trego County ranks #102 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $3M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 3K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $628K/yr
Low $510K/yr
Very Low $56K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Low 9.32 / yr$628K
Drought Low 77.32 / yr$510K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$56K
Winter Weather Low 11.21 / yr$56K
Ice Storm Low 0.46 / yr$59K
Tornado Low 0.95 / yr$704K
Strong Wind Low 4.74 / yr$313K
Cold Wave Very Low 3.79 / yr$244K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$14K
Lightning Very Low 44.57 / yr$36K
Landslide Very Low 0.16 / yr$19
Heat Wave Very Low 3.11 / yr$7K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.29 / yr$814K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Trego County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1993, most recently Severe Winter Storm in April 2024. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (6), Biological (2), Winter Storm (1).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
April 2024Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
May 2022SnowstormSevere Winter Storms and Straight-Line Winds
February 2022Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight Line Winds
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
February 2017Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
July 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding and Tornadoes
December 2007Severe StormSevere Winter Storms
January 2007Severe StormSevere Winter Storm
January 2006Severe StormSevere Winter Storm

Showing the 10 most recent of 13 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Trego County?

Trego County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 2.7 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 3th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Trego County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Low, $628K EAL), Drought (Low, $510K EAL), Wildfire (Very Low, $56K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Trego County compare to other Kansas counties?

Trego County ranks #102 of 105 Kansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Trego County had?

FEMA records 13 federal disaster declarations for Trego County since 1993, most often 6 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in April 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Trego County's $3M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.