Coffey County, Kansas Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · KS

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

35.3

National percentile: 35th

Coffey County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 35.3, 35th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $9M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Coffey County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 35.3 out of 100 — placing it in the 35th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at High risk — $990K in expected annual loss and about 52.09 events per year; wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Low risk — $266K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; and ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at Medium risk — $265K in expected annual loss and about 0.74 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $9M in expected annual loss for a population of 8K.

Beyond physical exposure, Coffey County has a high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Higher vulnerability is partly offset by strong community resilience and recovery capacity.

The federal record bears this out: Coffey County has received 19 federal disaster declarations since 1967, including 13 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding (severe storm), declared in September 2025.

Among 105 Kansas counties, Coffey County ranks #38 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $9M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 8K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $990K/yr
Low $266K/yr
Medium $265K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning High 52.09 / yr$990K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$266K
Ice Storm Medium 0.74 / yr$265K
Drought Medium 27.47 / yr$413K
Winter Weather Medium 10.79 / yr$97K
Hail Low 7.75 / yr$329K
Strong Wind Medium 5.93 / yr$514K
Heat Wave Low 14.37 / yr$380K
Tornado Low 0.45 / yr$891K
Riverine Flood Low 1.14 / yr$4M
Cold Wave Low 2.05 / yr$494K
Landslide Very Low 0.09 / yr$258
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$58K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Coffey County has received 19 federal disaster declarations since 1967, most recently Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding in September 2025. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (13), Biological (2), Hurricane (1).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
September 2025Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2019Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding,Landslides,and Mudslides
May 2019Severe StormTornadoes and Flooding
July 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
October 2013Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
March 2010Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and Snowstorm
June 2009Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes
June 2009Severe StormSevere Winter Storm and Record and Near Record Snow

Showing the 10 most recent of 19 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Coffey County?

Coffey County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 35.3 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 35th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Coffey County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (High, $990K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $266K EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $265K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Coffey County compare to other Kansas counties?

Coffey County ranks #38 of 105 Kansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Coffey County had?

FEMA records 19 federal disaster declarations for Coffey County since 1967, most often 13 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding, declared in September 2025.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Coffey County's $9M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.