Winneshiek County, Iowa Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · IA

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

36.2

National percentile: 36th

Winneshiek County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 36.2, 36th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $15M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Winneshiek County carries a very low composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 36.2 out of 100 — placing it in the 36th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 4.40 events per year; landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Low risk — $23K in expected annual loss and about 0.30 events per year; and drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Medium risk — $953K in expected annual loss and about 13.37 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $15M in expected annual loss for a population of 20K.

Beyond physical exposure, Winneshiek County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

History supports the rating: Winneshiek County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1969, including 9 for severe storm events and 9 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes (severe storm), declared in June 2024.

Among 99 Iowa counties, Winneshiek County ranks #48 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $15M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $1M/yr
Low $23K/yr
Medium $953K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 4.40 / yr$1M
Landslide Low 0.30 / yr$23K
Drought Medium 13.37 / yr$953K
Tornado Low 0.46 / yr$2M
Cold Wave Low 8.11 / yr$2M
Riverine Flood Low 1.50 / yr$8M
Winter Weather Low 18.26 / yr$74K
Heat Wave Very Low 3.89 / yr$230K
Ice Storm Low 0.62 / yr$41K
Strong Wind Low 3.82 / yr$333K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$12K
Lightning Very Low 38.05 / yr$91K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$4K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$14K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Winneshiek County has received 21 federal disaster declarations since 1969, most recently Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes in June 2024. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (9), Flood (9), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
June 2024Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
March 2019FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
August 2018Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
August 2017Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
October 2016FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
September 2016FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
July 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
July 2014FloodSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 21 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Winneshiek County?

Winneshiek County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 36.2 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 36th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Winneshiek County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $1M EAL), Landslide (Low, $23K EAL), Drought (Medium, $953K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Winneshiek County compare to other Iowa counties?

Winneshiek County ranks #48 of 99 Iowa counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Winneshiek County had?

FEMA records 21 federal disaster declarations for Winneshiek County since 1969, most often 9 for severe storm events and 9 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes, declared in June 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Winneshiek County's $15M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.