Linn County, Iowa Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · IA

Medium

Composite Risk Score

86.7

National percentile: 87th

Linn County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 86.7, 87th national percentile), driven primarily by strong wind and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $79M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Linn County carries a medium composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 86.7 out of 100 — placing it in the 87th national percentile and near the national midpoint for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at Very High risk — $8M in expected annual loss and about 6.10 events per year; hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at High risk — $7M in expected annual loss and about 4.66 events per year; and tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at High risk — $16M in expected annual loss and about 0.68 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $79M in expected annual loss for a population of 230K.

Beyond physical exposure, Linn County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The federal record bears this out: Linn County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including 11 for flood events and 8 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms (severe storm), declared in August 2020.

Among 99 Iowa counties, Linn County ranks #3 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $79M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 230K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very High $8M/yr
High $7M/yr
High $16M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Strong Wind Very High 6.10 / yr$8M
Hail High 4.66 / yr$7M
Tornado High 0.68 / yr$16M
Winter Weather High 16.58 / yr$787K
Drought Medium 12.99 / yr$2M
Riverine Flood Medium 2.21 / yr$36M
Ice Storm High 0.31 / yr$805K
Lightning High 42.84 / yr$1M
Cold Wave Medium 7.89 / yr$6M
Heat Wave Low 5.95 / yr$1M
Landslide Low 0.14 / yr$6K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$498K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$49K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$5K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Linn County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1965, most recently Severe Storms in August 2020. Most frequent causes: Flood (11), Severe Storm (8), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
August 2020Severe StormSevere Storms
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2016FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
August 2014Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
July 2013Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
May 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
January 2008Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
March 2007Severe StormSevere Winter Storms
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation

Showing the 10 most recent of 23 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Linn County?

Linn County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 86.7 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 87th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Linn County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Strong Wind (Very High, $8M EAL), Hail (High, $7M EAL), Tornado (High, $16M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Linn County compare to other Iowa counties?

Linn County ranks #3 of 99 Iowa counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Linn County had?

FEMA records 23 federal disaster declarations for Linn County since 1965, most often 11 for flood events and 8 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, declared in August 2020.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Linn County's $79M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.