Des Moines County, Iowa Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · IA

Low

Composite Risk Score

55.8

National percentile: 56th

Des Moines County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 55.8, 56th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $19M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Des Moines County at low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 55.8 out of 100 — placing it in the 56th national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 3.97 events per year; drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 8.64 events per year; and strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at High risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 5.50 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $19M in expected annual loss for a population of 39K.

Beyond physical exposure, Des Moines County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

History supports the rating: Des Moines County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including 13 for flood events and 10 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes (severe storm), declared in June 2024.

Among 99 Iowa counties, Des Moines County ranks #22 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $19M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very High Capacity to recover
Population 39K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $2M/yr
Medium $1M/yr
High $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 3.97 / yr$2M
Drought Medium 8.64 / yr$1M
Strong Wind High 5.50 / yr$2M
Heat Wave Medium 9.00 / yr$2M
Landslide Low 0.14 / yr$8K
Tornado Medium 0.35 / yr$3M
Ice Storm Medium 0.48 / yr$194K
Lightning Medium 45.22 / yr$454K
Winter Weather Low 13.16 / yr$93K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$408K
Riverine Flood Low 2.86 / yr$8M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$32K
Cold Wave Low 4.79 / yr$598K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Des Moines County has received 27 federal disaster declarations since 1965, most recently Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes in June 2024. Most frequent causes: Flood (13), Severe Storm (10), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
June 2024Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes
August 2023FloodFlooding
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
March 2019FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
October 2016FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
July 2015Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
August 2014Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
July 2013Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
May 2013FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 27 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Des Moines County?

Des Moines County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 55.8 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 56th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Des Moines County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $2M EAL), Drought (Medium, $1M EAL), Strong Wind (High, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Des Moines County compare to other Iowa counties?

Des Moines County ranks #22 of 99 Iowa counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Des Moines County had?

FEMA records 27 federal disaster declarations for Des Moines County since 1965, most often 13 for flood events and 10 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Storms, Flooding, Straight-Line Winds, and Tornadoes, declared in June 2024.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Des Moines County's $19M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.