Bartholomew County, Indiana Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · IN

Low

Composite Risk Score

70.9

National percentile: 71th

Bartholomew County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 70.9, 71th national percentile), driven primarily by tornado and earthquake exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $34M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Bartholomew County is low, with a National Risk Index score of 70.9 out of 100 — placing it in the 71st national percentile and below the national average for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by tornado (violently rotating columns of air capable of catastrophic local damage) at Medium risk — $7M in expected annual loss and about 0.31 events per year; earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Low risk — $3M in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year; and riverine flood (rivers and streams overflowing their banks after heavy rain or snowmelt) at Medium risk — $20M in expected annual loss and about 1.64 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $34M in expected annual loss for a population of 82K.

Beyond physical exposure, Bartholomew County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

History supports the rating: Bartholomew County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1974, including 3 for flood events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 92 Indiana counties, Bartholomew County ranks #20 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $34M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 82K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $7M/yr
Low $3M/yr
Medium $20M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Tornado Medium 0.31 / yr$7M
Earthquake Low 0.00 / yr$3M
Riverine Flood Medium 1.64 / yr$20M
Landslide Low 0.15 / yr$9K
Winter Weather Medium 8.58 / yr$150K
Hail Low 4.15 / yr$504K
Heat Wave Low 5.21 / yr$686K
Ice Storm Low 0.70 / yr$147K
Strong Wind Medium 5.00 / yr$761K
Drought Low 2.58 / yr$171K
Cold Wave Low 1.84 / yr$1M
Lightning Low 49.48 / yr$223K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$13K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$8K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Bartholomew County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1974, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Flood (3), Severe Storm (3), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
July 2025FloodSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, and Tornadoes
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
January 2005Severe StormSevere Winter Storms and Flooding
January 2005SnowstormSnow
September 2002Severe StormSevere Storms and Tornadoes
April 1996FloodBlizzard of 96

Showing the 10 most recent of 12 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Bartholomew County?

Bartholomew County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 70.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 71th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Bartholomew County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Tornado (Medium, $7M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $3M EAL), Riverine Flood (Medium, $20M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Bartholomew County compare to other Indiana counties?

Bartholomew County ranks #20 of 92 Indiana counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Bartholomew County had?

FEMA records 12 federal disaster declarations for Bartholomew County since 1974, most often 3 for flood events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Bartholomew County's $34M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.