Teton County

Idaho — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

29.5

National percentile: 29th

Teton County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 29.5, 29th national percentile), driven primarily by avalanche and wildfire exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $12M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $12M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 12K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Avalanche
High $2M/yr
Wildfire
Medium $2M/yr
Earthquake
Low $2M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Avalanche High 0.17 / yr $2M
Wildfire Medium 0.00 / yr $2M
Earthquake Low 0.02 / yr $2M
Lightning Medium 41.11 / yr $611K
Landslide Low 0.47 / yr $7K
Winter Weather Medium 29.81 / yr $134K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $13
Cold Wave Low 1.90 / yr $956K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.18 / yr $4M
Hail Very Low 0.29 / yr $98K
Drought Very Low 28.76 / yr $1K
Tornado Very Low 0.02 / yr $92K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.19 / yr $21K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr $5K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.45 / yr $43K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Teton County?

Teton County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 29.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 29th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Teton County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Avalanche (High, $2M EAL), Wildfire (Medium, $2M EAL), Earthquake (Low, $2M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Teton County compare to other Idaho counties?

Teton County ranks #28 of 44 Idaho counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Teton County's $12M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.