Boundary County, Idaho Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · ID

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

26.1

National percentile: 26th

Boundary County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 26.1, 26th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and avalanche exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $7M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

FEMA's National Risk Index rates Boundary County at very low composite risk, with a National Risk Index score of 26.1 out of 100 — placing it in the 26th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Medium risk — $369K in expected annual loss and about 0.67 events per year; avalanche (fast-moving snow and debris sliding down steep mountain slopes) at Medium risk — $487K in expected annual loss and about 0.10 events per year; and wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Low risk — $340K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $7M in expected annual loss for a population of 12K.

Beyond physical exposure, Boundary County has a high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

History supports the rating: Boundary County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1967, including 4 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Straight-Line Winds (straight-line winds), declared in April 2026.

Among 44 Idaho counties, Boundary County ranks #29 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $7M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 12K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $369K/yr
Medium $487K/yr
Low $340K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Medium 0.67 / yr$369K
Avalanche Medium 0.10 / yr$487K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$340K
Winter Weather Medium 27.10 / yr$96K
Cold Wave Low 1.42 / yr$684K
Riverine Flood Low 0.50 / yr$5M
Heat Wave Very Low 2.79 / yr$112K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$36K
Lightning Very Low 20.60 / yr$48K
Drought Very Low 22.29 / yr$520
Strong Wind Very Low 0.12 / yr$28K
Hail Very Low 0.13 / yr$6K
Tornado Very Low 0.01 / yr$8K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.01 / yr$336
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Boundary County has received 12 federal disaster declarations since 1967, most recently Straight-Line Winds in April 2026. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (4), Biological (2), Flood (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
April 2026Straight-Line WindsStraight-Line Winds
April 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
May 2017FloodSevere Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
December 2015Severe StormSevere Storm and Straight-Line Wind
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina
June 1997Severe StormSevere Storms, Snowmelt, Land/Mud Slides, Flooding
January 1997Severe StormSevere Storms, Flooding, Mud and Landslides
February 1996Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
May 1980Volcanic EruptionVolcanic Eruption, Mt. St. Helens

Showing the 10 most recent of 12 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Boundary County?

Boundary County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 26.1 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 26th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Boundary County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Medium, $369K EAL), Avalanche (Medium, $487K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $340K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Boundary County compare to other Idaho counties?

Boundary County ranks #29 of 44 Idaho counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Boundary County had?

FEMA records 12 federal disaster declarations for Boundary County since 1967, most often 4 for severe storm events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Straight-Line Winds, declared in April 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Boundary County's $7M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.