Morgan County

Colorado — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Low

Composite Risk Score

51.9

National percentile: 52th

Morgan County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 51.9, 52th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $20M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $20M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Low Capacity to recover
Population 29K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Hail
Medium $3M/yr
Strong Wind
Medium $1M/yr
Cold Wave
Medium $3M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 6.85 / yr $3M
Strong Wind Medium 1.60 / yr $1M
Cold Wave Medium 2.32 / yr $3M
Tornado Medium 1.79 / yr $3M
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr $145K
Winter Weather Medium 9.58 / yr $116K
Riverine Flood Low 1.18 / yr $9M
Ice Storm Low 0.05 / yr $88K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $184K
Lightning Low 48.85 / yr $122K
Drought Very Low 24.82 / yr $14K
Heat Wave Very Low 0.58 / yr $66K
Landslide Very Low 0.18 / yr $30
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Morgan County?

Morgan County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 51.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 52th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Morgan County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $3M EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $1M EAL), Cold Wave (Medium, $3M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Morgan County compare to other Colorado counties?

Morgan County ranks #19 of 64 Colorado counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Morgan County's $20M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.