Nevada County, California Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · CA

Medium

Composite Risk Score

89.9

National percentile: 90th

Nevada County faces medium composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 89.9, 90th national percentile), driven primarily by wildfire and landslide exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $81M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Nevada County carries a medium composite natural disaster risk, with a National Risk Index score of 89.9 out of 100 — placing it in the 90th national percentile and near the national midpoint for natural-disaster risk. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at High risk — $32M in expected annual loss and about 0.01 events per year; landslide (downhill movement of rock, soil, and debris on unstable slopes) at Medium risk — $148K in expected annual loss and about 2.27 events per year; and earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Medium risk — $7M in expected annual loss and about 0.03 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $81M in expected annual loss for a population of 102K.

Beyond physical exposure, Nevada County has a medium social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

History supports the rating: Nevada County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1964, including 7 for severe storm events and 7 for fire events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides (severe storm), declared in April 2023.

Among 58 California counties, Nevada County ranks #39 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $81M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Medium Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 102K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

High $32M/yr
Medium $148K/yr
Medium $7M/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Wildfire High 0.01 / yr$32M
Landslide Medium 2.27 / yr$148K
Earthquake Medium 0.03 / yr$7M
Riverine Flood Medium 0.86 / yr$37M
Avalanche High 0.30 / yr$2M
Lightning Medium 14.29 / yr$492K
Winter Weather Medium 28.31 / yr$124K
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$23
Heat Wave Low 4.25 / yr$517K
Hail Low 0.17 / yr$246K
Tornado Very Low 0.09 / yr$194K
Strong Wind Very Low 0.07 / yr$108K
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Cold Wave Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Drought Very Low 59.51 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Ice Storm Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Nevada County has received 23 federal disaster declarations since 1964, most recently Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides in April 2023. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (7), Fire (7), Flood (5).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
April 2023Severe StormSevere Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
March 2023FloodSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
January 2023FloodSevere Winter Storms, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides
August 2021FireWildfires
August 2020FireWildfires
August 2020FireJones Fire
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2017FireWildfires
October 2017FireLobo Fire

Showing the 10 most recent of 23 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Nevada County?

Nevada County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 89.9 out of 100, placing it in the Medium category and the 90th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Nevada County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Wildfire (High, $32M EAL), Landslide (Medium, $148K EAL), Earthquake (Medium, $7M EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Nevada County compare to other California counties?

Nevada County ranks #39 of 58 California counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a medium rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Nevada County had?

FEMA records 23 federal disaster declarations for Nevada County since 1964, most often 7 for severe storm events and 7 for fire events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, Landslides, and Mudslides, declared in April 2023.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Nevada County's $81M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.