Chittenden County
Vermont — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment
LowComposite Risk Score
National percentile: 64th
Chittenden County faces low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 63.9, 64th national percentile), driven primarily by winter weather and lightning exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $40M.
Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025
Top Hazards
All 18 Hazard Risks
| Winter Weather | Medium | 16.93 / yr | $465K |
| Lightning | High | 23.00 / yr | $1M |
| Avalanche | Medium | 0.03 / yr | $457K |
| Ice Storm | Medium | 0.33 / yr | $601K |
| Earthquake | Low | 0.00 / yr | $2M |
| Landslide | Low | 0.81 / yr | $18K |
| Riverine Flood | Medium | 2.14 / yr | $29M |
| Heat Wave | Low | 2.07 / yr | $2M |
| Hurricane | Low | 0.03 / yr | $661K |
| Strong Wind | Medium | 0.78 / yr | $1M |
| Cold Wave | Low | 3.47 / yr | $2M |
| Tornado | Low | 0.03 / yr | $847K |
| Wildfire | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $19K |
| Hail | Very Low | 1.12 / yr | $99K |
| Coastal Flood | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Drought | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Tsunami | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
| Volcanic Activity | Very Low | 0.00 / yr | $0 |
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the overall natural disaster risk for Chittenden County?
Chittenden County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 63.9 out of 100, placing it in the Low category and the 64th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.
What are the top natural hazards in Chittenden County?
The three highest-rated hazards are Winter Weather (Medium, $465K EAL), Lightning (High, $1M EAL), Avalanche (Medium, $457K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.
How does Chittenden County compare to other Vermont counties?
Chittenden County ranks #1 of 14 Vermont counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a low rating.
What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?
EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Chittenden County's $40M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.