Douglas County

South Dakota — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

10.4

National percentile: 10th

Douglas County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 10.4, 10th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and cold wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $6M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $6M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 3K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Drought
Low $446K/yr
Cold Wave
Low $2M/yr
Ice Storm
Medium $179K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Low 22.45 / yr $446K
Cold Wave Low 6.26 / yr $2M
Ice Storm Medium 0.62 / yr $179K
Winter Weather Low 15.74 / yr $102K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $71K
Hail Low 5.15 / yr $368K
Tornado Low 0.24 / yr $915K
Strong Wind Low 3.02 / yr $249K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $35K
Heat Wave Very Low 6.26 / yr $29K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.64 / yr $2M
Landslide Very Low 0.04 / yr $25
Lightning Very Low 36.47 / yr $22K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Douglas County?

Douglas County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 10.4 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 10th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Douglas County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Low, $446K EAL), Cold Wave (Low, $2M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $179K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Douglas County compare to other South Dakota counties?

Douglas County ranks #44 of 66 South Dakota counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Douglas County's $6M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.