Guernsey County

Ohio — Natural Disaster Risk Assessment

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

37.5

National percentile: 38th

Guernsey County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 37.5, 38th national percentile), driven primarily by landslide and hail exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $9M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Expected Annual Loss $9M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 38K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Landslide
Low $30K/yr
Hail
Low $331K/yr
Drought
Low $256K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Landslide Low 1.01 / yr $30K
Hail Low 3.17 / yr $331K
Drought Low 5.97 / yr $256K
Lightning Medium 43.15 / yr $263K
Riverine Flood Low 2.07 / yr $7M
Ice Storm Low 0.39 / yr $90K
Heat Wave Low 2.26 / yr $265K
Winter Weather Low 9.05 / yr $39K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr $24K
Strong Wind Low 1.68 / yr $319K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr $110K
Tornado Low 0.16 / yr $588K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr $12K
Cold Wave Very Low 2.79 / yr $101K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr $0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr $0

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Guernsey County?

Guernsey County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 37.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 38th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Guernsey County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Landslide (Low, $30K EAL), Hail (Low, $331K EAL), Drought (Low, $256K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Guernsey County compare to other Ohio counties?

Guernsey County ranks #65 of 88 Ohio counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Guernsey County's $9M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.