Rice County, Kansas Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · KS

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

28.5

National percentile: 29th

Rice County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 28.5, 29th national percentile), driven primarily by hail and ice storm exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $10M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Rice County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 28.5 out of 100 — placing it in the 29th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 11.04 events per year; ice storm (freezing rain that coats surfaces in heavy, damaging ice) at Medium risk — $473K in expected annual loss and about 0.89 events per year; and wildfire (uncontrolled fires that spread across wildland and into communities) at Low risk — $342K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $10M in expected annual loss for a population of 9K.

Beyond physical exposure, Rice County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

The county's disaster history tells the same story: Rice County has received 25 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including 16 for severe storm events and 3 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Wildfires (severe storm), declared in May 2025.

Among 105 Kansas counties, Rice County ranks #45 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $10M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 9K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $2M/yr
Medium $473K/yr
Low $342K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hail Medium 11.04 / yr$2M
Ice Storm Medium 0.89 / yr$473K
Wildfire Low 0.00 / yr$342K
Winter Weather Medium 11.95 / yr$116K
Drought Low 50.17 / yr$406K
Tornado Low 0.85 / yr$2M
Cold Wave Low 2.53 / yr$1M
Heat Wave Low 8.84 / yr$343K
Strong Wind Low 7.01 / yr$537K
Riverine Flood Very Low 1.21 / yr$3M
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$34K
Lightning Very Low 46.07 / yr$47K
Landslide Very Low 0.08 / yr$4
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Hurricane Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Rice County has received 25 federal disaster declarations since 1965, most recently Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Wildfires in May 2025. Most frequent causes: Severe Storm (16), Flood (3), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
May 2025Severe StormSevere Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Wildfires
October 2023Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, and Flooding
February 2022Severe StormSevere Storms and Straight Line Winds
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
June 2019Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, Tornadoes, Flooding,Landslides,and Mudslides
February 2019Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
October 2018Severe StormSevere Storms, Straight-Line Winds, and Flooding
March 2017FireHighland Hills Fire
February 2017Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm

Showing the 10 most recent of 25 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Rice County?

Rice County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 28.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 29th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Rice County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hail (Medium, $2M EAL), Ice Storm (Medium, $473K EAL), Wildfire (Low, $342K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Rice County compare to other Kansas counties?

Rice County ranks #45 of 105 Kansas counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Rice County had?

FEMA records 25 federal disaster declarations for Rice County since 1965, most often 16 for severe storm events and 3 for flood events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, Straight-Line Winds, Flooding, and Wildfires, declared in May 2025.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Rice County's $10M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.