Louisa County, Iowa Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · IA

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

17.5

National percentile: 17th

Louisa County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 17.5, 17th national percentile), driven primarily by drought and strong wind exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Louisa County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 17.5 out of 100 — placing it in the 17th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Most of Louisa County's expected losses come from drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Medium risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 9.93 events per year; strong wind (damaging straight-line winds outside of tornadoes and hurricanes) at Medium risk — $2M in expected annual loss and about 6.30 events per year; and hail (ice stones from severe thunderstorms that damage property and crops) at Low risk — $648K in expected annual loss and about 4.37 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $8M in expected annual loss for a population of 11K.

Beyond physical exposure, Louisa County has a very low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a medium community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

The federal record bears this out: Louisa County has received 20 federal disaster declarations since 1965, including 11 for flood events and 6 for severe storm events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic (biological), declared in March 2020.

Among 99 Iowa counties, Louisa County ranks #90 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 11K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $1M/yr
Medium $2M/yr
Low $648K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Drought Medium 9.93 / yr$1M
Strong Wind Medium 6.30 / yr$2M
Hail Low 4.37 / yr$648K
Landslide Low 0.10 / yr$5K
Heat Wave Low 8.16 / yr$532K
Ice Storm Low 0.50 / yr$105K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$25K
Tornado Low 0.37 / yr$828K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$99K
Lightning Low 45.37 / yr$138K
Winter Weather Very Low 13.74 / yr$26K
Riverine Flood Very Low 2.25 / yr$3M
Cold Wave Very Low 5.26 / yr$293K
Hurricane Very Low 0.01 / yr$3K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Louisa County has received 20 federal disaster declarations since 1965, most recently Covid-19 Pandemic in March 2020. Most frequent causes: Flood (11), Severe Storm (6), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
March 2019FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
July 2013Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
May 2008Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
March 2007Severe StormSevere Winter Storms
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
May 2004Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, and Flooding
June 2002FloodSevere Storms and Flooding
May 2001Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes and Flooding

Showing the 10 most recent of 20 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Louisa County?

Louisa County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 17.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 17th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Louisa County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Drought (Medium, $1M EAL), Strong Wind (Medium, $2M EAL), Hail (Low, $648K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Louisa County compare to other Iowa counties?

Louisa County ranks #90 of 99 Iowa counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Louisa County had?

FEMA records 20 federal disaster declarations for Louisa County since 1965, most often 11 for flood events and 6 for severe storm events. The most recent was Covid-19 Pandemic, declared in March 2020.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Louisa County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.