Telfair County, Georgia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · GA

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

23.5

National percentile: 24th

Telfair County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 23.5, 24th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and heat wave exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $5M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Telfair County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 23.5 out of 100 — placing it in the 24th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

The county's risk is driven primarily by hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Low risk — $1M in expected annual loss and about 0.21 events per year; heat wave (prolonged periods of extreme heat that threaten health and infrastructure) at Low risk — $322K in expected annual loss and about 7.95 events per year; and drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Low risk — $130K in expected annual loss and about 22.54 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $5M in expected annual loss for a population of 12K.

Beyond physical exposure, Telfair County has a very high social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a very low community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). That combination — a more vulnerable population with limited resilience — can amplify the human cost of any given event.

The federal record bears this out: Telfair County has received 18 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including 7 for hurricane events and 2 for tropical storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 159 Georgia counties, Telfair County ranks #100 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $5M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Very High Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Very Low Capacity to recover
Population 12K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Low $1M/yr
Low $322K/yr
Low $130K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Low 0.21 / yr$1M
Heat Wave Low 7.95 / yr$322K
Drought Low 22.54 / yr$130K
Tornado Low 0.25 / yr$851K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$164K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$22K
Lightning Low 67.95 / yr$108K
Riverine Flood Very Low 0.46 / yr$2M
Ice Storm Very Low 0.15 / yr$12K
Strong Wind Low 1.34 / yr$120K
Hail Very Low 2.01 / yr$43K
Landslide Very Low 0.07 / yr$15
Winter Weather Very Low 0.37 / yr$2K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.26 / yr$10K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Telfair County has received 18 federal disaster declarations since 1977, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (7), Tropical Storm (2), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
September 2024HurricaneHurricane Helene
September 2024Tropical StormHurricane Helene
August 2024Tropical StormHurricane Debby
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2018HurricaneHurricane Michael
October 2018HurricaneHurricane Michael
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma

Showing the 10 most recent of 18 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Telfair County?

Telfair County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 23.5 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 24th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Telfair County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Low, $1M EAL), Heat Wave (Low, $322K EAL), Drought (Low, $130K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Telfair County compare to other Georgia counties?

Telfair County ranks #100 of 159 Georgia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Telfair County had?

FEMA records 18 federal disaster declarations for Telfair County since 1977, most often 7 for hurricane events and 2 for tropical storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Telfair County's $5M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.