Morgan County, Georgia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · GA

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

19.4

National percentile: 19th

Morgan County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 19.4, 19th national percentile), driven primarily by hurricane and drought exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Morgan County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 19.4 out of 100 — placing it in the 19th national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Very Low risk — $177K in expected annual loss and about 0.05 events per year; drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Low risk — $267K in expected annual loss and about 58.04 events per year; and earthquake (ground shaking from sudden movement along geologic faults) at Very Low risk — $353K in expected annual loss and about 0.00 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $8M in expected annual loss for a population of 20K.

Beyond physical exposure, Morgan County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a high community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). A less vulnerable population paired with strong resilience helps the community absorb and recover from events.

History supports the rating: Morgan County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including 4 for hurricane events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 159 Georgia counties, Morgan County ranks #110 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience High Capacity to recover
Population 20K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Very Low $177K/yr
Low $267K/yr
Very Low $353K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Hurricane Very Low 0.05 / yr$177K
Drought Low 58.04 / yr$267K
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$353K
Ice Storm Low 0.94 / yr$90K
Hail Low 4.20 / yr$212K
Tornado Low 0.22 / yr$918K
Riverine Flood Low 0.39 / yr$5M
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$27K
Heat Wave Very Low 5.21 / yr$224K
Strong Wind Low 2.24 / yr$376K
Lightning Low 58.08 / yr$108K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.37 / yr$172K
Landslide Very Low 0.16 / yr$64
Winter Weather Very Low 1.63 / yr$5K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Morgan County has received 13 federal disaster declarations since 1977, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (4), Biological (2), Severe Storm (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
September 2024Tropical StormHurricane Helene
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
October 2018HurricaneHurricane Michael
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
February 2016Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
March 2014Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm
February 2014Severe Ice StormSevere Winter Storm

Showing the 10 most recent of 13 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Morgan County?

Morgan County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 19.4 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 19th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Morgan County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Hurricane (Very Low, $177K EAL), Drought (Low, $267K EAL), Earthquake (Very Low, $353K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Morgan County compare to other Georgia counties?

Morgan County ranks #110 of 159 Georgia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Morgan County had?

FEMA records 13 federal disaster declarations for Morgan County since 1977, most often 4 for hurricane events and 2 for biological events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Morgan County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.