Harris County, Georgia Natural Disaster Risk

FEMA National Risk Index assessment · GA

Very Low

Composite Risk Score

20.8

National percentile: 21th

Harris County faces very low composite natural disaster risk (NRI Risk Index score 20.8, 21th national percentile), driven primarily by lightning and hurricane exposure. Expected annual loss across all 18 hazard types is $8M.

Source: FEMA National Risk Index v1.20 · Updated December 2025

Risk Overview

Overall natural disaster risk in Harris County is very low, with a National Risk Index score of 20.8 out of 100 — placing it in the 21st national percentile and among the lowest-risk counties in the country. The score blends Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across all 18 FEMA hazard types.

Risk here concentrates in lightning (electrical discharges from storms that ignite fires and cause casualties) at Medium risk — $562K in expected annual loss and about 64.33 events per year; hurricane (tropical cyclones bringing extreme wind, rain, and storm surge) at Low risk — $384K in expected annual loss and about 0.08 events per year; and drought (extended dry periods that stress water supplies and agriculture) at Low risk — $170K in expected annual loss and about 48.06 events per year. Across all hazards, FEMA estimates $8M in expected annual loss for a population of 35K.

Beyond physical exposure, Harris County has a low social vulnerability rating (how susceptible the population is to harm) and a medium community resilience rating (its capacity to prepare for and recover from disasters). Both measures sit toward the lower end, indicating relatively modest population sensitivity.

History supports the rating: Harris County has received 14 federal disaster declarations since 1977, including 6 for hurricane events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm (winter storm), declared in January 2026.

Among 159 Georgia counties, Harris County ranks #105 for overall natural disaster risk.

Expected Annual Loss $8M Annualized county-level EAL
Social Vulnerability Low Population sensitivity
Community Resilience Medium Capacity to recover
Population 35K Latest estimate

Top Hazards

Medium $562K/yr
Low $384K/yr
Low $170K/yr

All 18 Hazard Risks

Lightning Medium 64.33 / yr$562K
Hurricane Low 0.08 / yr$384K
Drought Low 48.06 / yr$170K
Wildfire Very Low 0.00 / yr$51K
Heat Wave Low 4.74 / yr$361K
Landslide Very Low 0.53 / yr$974
Earthquake Very Low 0.00 / yr$187K
Riverine Flood Low 0.43 / yr$5M
Hail Low 3.46 / yr$193K
Tornado Low 0.34 / yr$837K
Ice Storm Very Low 0.49 / yr$27K
Strong Wind Low 1.74 / yr$197K
Cold Wave Very Low 0.42 / yr$32K
Winter Weather Very Low 0.79 / yr$4K
Avalanche Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Coastal Flood Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Tsunami Very Low 0.00 / yr$0
Volcanic Activity Very Low 0.00 / yr$0

Disaster History

Harris County has received 14 federal disaster declarations since 1977, most recently Severe Winter Storm in January 2026. Most frequent causes: Hurricane (6), Severe Storm (3), Biological (2).

DeclaredTypeDisaster
January 2026Winter StormSevere Winter Storm
September 2024Tropical StormHurricane Helene
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19 Pandemic
March 2020BiologicalCovid-19
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
September 2017HurricaneHurricane Irma
February 2016Severe StormSevere Storms and Flooding
April 2011Severe StormSevere Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-Line Winds, and Associated Flooding
September 2005HurricaneHurricane Katrina Evacuation
September 2004HurricaneTropical Storm Frances

Showing the 10 most recent of 14 declarations.

Source: FEMA Disaster Declarations Summaries (OpenFEMA).

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the overall natural disaster risk for Harris County?

Harris County has a composite FEMA National Risk Index score of 20.8 out of 100, placing it in the Very Low category and the 21th national percentile. This combines Expected Annual Loss, Social Vulnerability, and Community Resilience across 18 hazard types.

What are the top natural hazards in Harris County?

The three highest-rated hazards are Lightning (Medium, $562K EAL), Hurricane (Low, $384K EAL), Drought (Low, $170K EAL). These account for most of the county's expected annual losses.

How does Harris County compare to other Georgia counties?

Harris County ranks #105 of 159 Georgia counties for overall natural disaster risk, with a very low rating.

How many federally declared disasters has Harris County had?

FEMA records 14 federal disaster declarations for Harris County since 1977, most often 6 for hurricane events and 3 for severe storm events. The most recent was Severe Winter Storm, declared in January 2026.

What does Expected Annual Loss (EAL) mean?

EAL is FEMA's estimate of average annual dollar losses from natural hazards, calculated from historical event data and exposure models. Harris County's $8M EAL is a statistical average, not a guarantee for any specific year or address.